Yes, it’s back: the election year.
In California, the two dates you need to know are June 2 for the primary election. And Nov.3 will be the general election.
Californians will have the big state offices to sort through. With Gov. Gavin Newsom termed out and a horde of candidates trying to succeed him, it’s not yet clear which two candidates will break from the pack to face-off in November.
Since the 2014 gubernatorial election, Californians have reliably voted around 60-40 for the Democratic candidate. But the Democratic field as of this writing is so jam-packed it’s not clear who will eventually emerge.
Former Orange County Rep. Katie Porter seemed to have the largest level of support until videos of her outbursts went viral and reminded people why they didn’t like her.
Rep. Eric Swalwell and billionaire Tom Steyer have since jumped in, with Swalwell enjoying an early surge in support. But will it last?
Meanwhile, there are plenty of well-known political pros like former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, former California Attorney General Xavier Becerra and others still in the race. And, there’s the possibility of current AG Rob Bonta jumping in.
Meanwhile, the AG spot is up for election this year, so Bonta has decisions to make. Ditto the other state offices, with plenty of vacancies opening up, with Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis out to run for state Treasurer and state Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara termed out.
No one expects a major sea change in the Democratic supermajority-Legislature, but state Senate and Assembly seats will be up for grabs. Republicans were able to flip a couple of Southern California Assembly seats. Will they hold on?
As usual, there also will be statewide ballot measures. City and county elections also will be held, including high-profile contests like the mayor of Los Angeles.
And of course, there will be the many House races in a post-Proposition 50 congressional map. Will the gerrymandering work as intended? Or might there be surprises?
Perhaps the most interesting of the Southern California contests is what will come of the current squabble between Republican Rep. Young Kim and her fellow Republican Rep. Ken Calvert, who has challenged Kim in the 40th congressional district.
No matter how one puts it, this will be a very busy, very loud and very expensive election year.
PREVIOUS ARTICLE