Don’t tell me the Bears picked the wrong quarterback again. — @tonymolini1

I won’t say that and it’s far too premature to jump down this rabbit hole. But I will tell you a defensive coordinator for another team texted me Tuesday morning asking the same question.

Jayden Daniels was fantastic Monday night in leading the Washington Commanders to a 38-33 upset in Cincinnati. The No. 2 draft pick completed 21 of 23 passes — a rookie-record 91.3% — for 254 yards and two touchdowns and ran for 39 yards and another score. He’s completing 80.3% for the season and ranks fourth in the NFL in passer rating (111.8) and yards per attempt (8.7).

Now, slow down a bit.

“Oh boy,” a veteran pro scout texted. “Let’s not go there yet.”

It’s definitely too soon to make any judgments on Caleb Williams versus Daniels. I’d point out the Bengals defense has really been struggling. That being said, Washington doesn’t have an ideal situation on its offensive line — a problem you’re familiar with if you watch a certain other rookie quarterback perform. Daniels has been sacked nine times, tied for ninth-most in the league, and his collection of skill-position talent isn’t nearly as good as what Williams has to work with.

One notable difference is the Commanders have been able to run the ball, averaging 153.7 yards per game, fifth in the league. Daniels has been a big part of that with 171 of the team’s 461 rushing yards (37%). The Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson is the only quarterback with more rushing yards.

Williams is coming off a pretty good game and clear improvement in the Bears’ 21-16 loss to the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. He set a franchise rookie record with 363 passing yards, completing 33 of 52 passes with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

If Williams was really struggling, it would be a little easier to dive into this question. He’s not. There’s a lot of football left to play this season, and I think the Bears are pleased with the progress he has displayed, especially when considering the issues on the offensive line and consistent lack of a complementary running game.

What’s most impressive about the Commanders offense is how it’s staying on the field. Their last 17 possessions ended with a score or kneel-down, and they didn’t punt Monday night or in the Week 2 win over the New York Giants. They did kick seven field goals against the Giants and have had a rough go of it in the red zone, but you have to go back to Week 1 for their last punt. Washington (2-1) has not turned the ball over through three games.

Daniels was the No. 1 quarterback on the draft board of at least two teams I know of, but there are questions. Can he hold up when he takes hits in the NFL? That was a real question coming off his Heisman Trophy-winning season at LSU last year, when he put himself in harm’s way more than he should have. Daniels has a slight frame, listed at 6-foot-4, 210 pounds. That was a concern for teams entering the draft. As the Commanders put more stuff on tape, defenses will have a chance to see what’s working — what Daniels is comfortable with — and try to take that away.

He’s super talented, no question about it. But if Williams continues to advance, the Bears will remain pleased with their selection. Their focus is on Williams, and I haven’t seen anything to this point that would give me concern — beyond standard questions you have for all rookie quarterbacks — about his ability to develop and eventually thrive. Again, he’s coming off a pretty good performance, all things considered.

It’s a legitimate question down the road and one that others are at least wondering about. Look forward to Week 8, when Williams and Daniels will go head to head at Washington.

Will they fire Matt Eberflus if they lose to the Rams and Panthers? — @anilliniguy

This escalated quickly. If you’re a regular reader, you know I’ve pointed out many times in the last decade that the Bears never have replaced a head coach during the season.

That being said, there are some obviously frustrating elements to the team’s 1-2 start, from game management issues (wasting a timeout before a 2-point conversion and poor decisions to challenge calls) to play selection on offense and poor performance by an offensive line that seemingly has regressed.

The Bears opened as 2½-point favorites over the Los Angeles Rams, and it would be a stunner if they aren’t favored in Week 5 at home game against the Carolina Panthers. You’re asking me to really peer into the crystal ball if the Bears somehow lose the next two games.

A loss to the Rams would be really difficult because it would drop the Bears to 1-3, and no NFC teams are winless through three weeks. It’s impractical to call a game in September a must-win for a coach or an organization, but it sure feels like a significant one for Eberflus and his offensive staff as the Rams have been porous on defense. They’re 30th in run defense, allowing 177 rushing yards per game. Of course, we know how that worked out last week against a putrid Colts run defense.

I know this much: If the Bears drop the next two games, noise surrounding the franchise will be amplified and things will get tense at Halas Hall. Changing the head coach coming off a Week 5 game — a day before a flight to London for a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars — would not make a lot of sense, especially with a bye after that game.

Odds are greater the team might make a move with coordinator Shane Waldron if the offense remains a mess the next couple of weeks. Developing Caleb Williams is Waldron’s No. 1 job and the Bears can feel like that’s headed in the right direction, but there has to be some tangible improvement in the running game to give Williams a better chance.

This, of course, would be another pretty extreme measure. Am I saying Waldron is on the hot seat entering Week 4? No. But the Bears have to get some things straightened out and quickly.

Shane Waldron’s offense never seemed this discombobulated in Seattle. So what’s happened to him and Chicago’s offense? — @mmesq11

That’s a good question, and the Bears surely would pay top dollar for a great answer. I never thought the Seahawks had a cutting-edge offense with Waldron. They weren’t very good running the football last season with a couple of pretty good backs in Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet, and some folks I’ve chatted with felt they were really underutilized.

I’m no expert on what the Seahawks did specifically on offense the last couple of seasons, but the issues at Halas Hall are pretty clear. The offensive line play has been really poor, and some of the choices — such as having 5-foot-8, 190-pound wide receiver DeAndre Carter block a defensive end on a running play from the 1-yard line — have been bad.

The Bears still are learning a new system and Waldron is learning his personnel. That’s a two-way street and you would hope for some natural improvement. Waldron wasn’t forced to work with a rookie quarterback in Seattle, but Caleb Williams is an elite prospect.

I wish it were easy to point at one thing and say, “He just has to do this better.” But the Bears have been a mess on offense. They’ve struggled to form an identity — besides being a finesse team running the ball — and they’re going to have a tough time against any opponent until they’re consistently better in the trenches.