When Broncos run: This isn’t the same ground game that Las Vegas saw in Week 10, of course, without J.K. Dobbins. But the Broncos’ ground game has quietly sputtered for a month even when Dobbins was healthy. Denver hasn’t eclipsed 100 yards on the ground as a team since October. Las Vegas, too, is tied for third in the NFL in average rushing yards per play (3.8). The Chargers pounded the Raiders on the ground last week in Los Angeles, though, and Denver rookie RB RJ Harvey is due for a breakout game rushing. Edge: Even

When Broncos pass: Bo Nix had arguably his worst game of the season on Thursday Night Football in early November against the Raiders, when national criticism of his play reached an all-time high. In the two games since, Nix has largely shouldered the Broncos’ offense in Dobbins’ stead, as Denver’s thrown the ball on roughly two-thirds of its plays from scrimmage. The second-year quarterback will need the same kind of effort Sunday if Harvey still can’t get going. Slight edge: Broncos

When Raiders run: Yikes. Rookie running back Ashton Jeanty hasn’t eclipsed an average of four yards a carry in any game since early October. Firing offensive coordinator Chip Kelly didn’t help against the Chargers, as Jeanty ran for just 31 yards on 15 carries (2.1 yards per carry). As presently constructed, this is one of the weakest ground games in the NFL. Good teams have been able to pick up some chunk yardage on the ground against this Broncos defense, but this is not a good team. Edge: Broncos

When Raiders pass: Veteran Geno Smith has been slightly more efficient since Denver saw him a few weeks back, but still leads the NFL in interceptions with 14. More importantly, Smith has taken a whopping 19 sacks across the past three weeks. The Broncos’ defensive line has slowed up just a bit after a torrid early-season pace pressuring the quarterback, but they’ll head into Sunday licking their chops. Plus, Joseph has Surtain back and healthy to throw at Las Vegas tight end Brock Bowers. Edge: Broncos

Special teams: The Raiders fired coordinator Tom McMahon after the Broncos’ Thursday Night win in early November, which is about all one needs to know about Las Vegas’ performance on special teams in 2025. Denver’s experienced a notable turnaround under Darren Rizzi, meanwhile, since safety JL Skinner blocked Raiders punter AJ Cole’s boot in that Week 10 matchup. Rookie punter Jeremy Crawshaw has been a standout in that span after going viral for knocking one off his shin — that darn ground wind — against the Raiders, and nearly pinned the Commanders at the one-yard-line last weekend. Edge: Broncos

Coaching: The Raiders have fired two key coordinators in the last month. The Broncos have fired none. Enough said. Heavy edge: Broncos