Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are locked in a dead heat for the popular vote, 48% to 48%, the final national poll by The New York Times and Siena College has found, as the vice president struggles for an edge over the former president with an electorate that seems impossibly and immovably divided.

The result, coming less than two weeks before Election Day, and as millions of Americans have already voted, is not encouraging for Harris.

In recent elections, Democrats have had an edge in the popular vote even when they have lost the Electoral College and thus the White House.

Harris and Trump remain effectively tied even after three of the most tumultuous months in recent American political history. A high-profile debate, two attempts on Trump’s life, dozens of rallies across seven battlefield states and hundreds of millions spent on advertisements have seemingly done little to change the trajectory of the race.

Harris’ position, if anything, may have declined among likely voters since the last Times/Siena College poll, taken early this month.

At the time, she had a slight lead over Trump, 49% to 46%. The change is within the margin of error, but the Times’ national polling average has registered a tightening in polls over the past few weeks as well, suggesting at the very least that this contest has drawn even closer.